[Khóa luận tốt nghiệp] Improving trade promotion forecast accuracy at Circle K Vietnam

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CONTENTS
GLOSSARY  ...............................................................................................................  iv
LIST OF TABLES  .......................................................................................................  v
LIST OF FIGURES  ....................................................................................................  vi
CONTENTS  ..............................................................................................................  vii
PREFACE  ...................................................................................................................  1
Background of the study  ..........................................................................................  1
Research methodology.............................................................................................  2
CHAPTER 1: AN INTRODUCTION TO CIRCLE K STORES INC   ..........................  3
1.1 About Circle K Stores Inc  ..................................................................................  3
1.2. Circle K Vietnam  ..............................................................................................  6
1.3. Market share  .....................................................................................................  8
1.4. Management structure at CKVN  .....................................................................  10
CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW  ....................................................................  13
2.1 The concept of demand planning  .....................................................................  13
2.2 The characteristics of demand planning  ...........................................................  14
2.3 Forecasting principles and process  ...................................................................  16
2.4. Retail industry ................................................................................................  18
2.4.1. Definition and characteristics of retail  ......................................................  18
2.4.2. Retail Operations  .....................................................................................  19
2.5. Apply multiple linear regression to demand forecast in retail  ..........................  25
CHAPTER 3: REPLENISHMENT PLANNING ACTIVITIES AT CKVN  ...............  32
3.1.  General replenishment planning at CKVN  .................................................  32
3.2.  Demand forecasting at CKVN  ...................................................................  33
3.3.  Lead time forecasting  ................................................................................  40
3.4.  Order cycle and service level goal analysis  ................................................  42
3.5.  Replenishment  ...........................................................................................  44
CHAPTER 4: ANALYZE AND IMPROVE PROMOTIONAL FORECASTING 
ACCURACY  .............................................................................................................  49
4.1. Reason for low promotion forecast accuracy  ..................................................  49
4.2. Analysis of forecast accuracy based on ABC classification  .............................  50
4.3. Difference between SO and actual demand  .....................................................  53
4.4. Multiple Regression for promotional dummy variables  ...................................  55 
viii
4.4.1. Independent variables  ..............................................................................  55
4.4.2. Implement Multiple Linear Regression with variables  .............................  56
4.5. Existing problems and future suggestions  .......................................................  60
CONCLUSION  .........................................................................................................  62
REFERENCE  ............................................................................................................  63
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Giao dịch viên QHKH Cá nhân-RM Hỗ trợ tín dụng Thực tập sinh Agribank - NH Nông nghiệp & PTNT BIDV - NH Đầu tư phát triển VN Vietinbank - NH Công thương VN Vietcombank (VCB) - NH Ngoại thương VN LienVietPost Bank (LVPB) - NH Bưu Điện Liên Việt MB Bank - NH Quân Đội Techcombank - NH Kỹ Thương Tổng cục Thống kê
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